XRP Price Prediction: Targets $1.97 by March as Technical Reversal Builds

Rebeca Moen Feb 09, 2026 05:15

XRP shows oversold conditions at $1.44 with RSI at 35.43, suggesting potential bounce to $1.97 resistance. Analysts eye $2.60-$4.00 year-end targets if momentum shifts. XRP Price Prediction Summar...

XRP shows oversold conditions at $1.44 with RSI at 35.43, suggesting potential bounce to $1.97 resistance. Analysts eye $2.60-$4.00 year-end targets if momentum shifts.

XRP Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.47-$1.50 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.38-$1.97 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.50 • Critical support: $1.38

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Ripple

Recent analyst predictions paint a cautiously optimistic picture for XRP's trajectory. Darius Baruo noted on February 2nd that "XRP trades at $1.64 with bearish momentum but oversold RSI signals potential reversal. Technical analysis suggests $1.73 resistance breakout could drive Ripple toward $2.60-$4.00 range by 2026."

Timothy Morano provided a detailed Ripple forecast on January 27th, projecting "Short-term target (1 week): $1.93-$1.97; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.84-$2.20 range; Bullish breakout level: $2.20; Critical support: $1.83," with a year-end target of $2.60.

The most bullish XRP price prediction comes from Dominic Basulto, who stated on January 18th: "I'm making one big prediction for XRP in 2026: The world's fourth-largest cryptocurrency is going to set a new all-time high and end the year trading above the $4 mark."

Meanwhile, according to on-chain data from major platforms, XRP's recent price action shows signs of accumulation despite the current bearish sentiment.

XRP Technical Analysis Breakdown

XRP currently trades at $1.44, showing modest daily gains of 1.12% within a tight $1.41-$1.47 range. The technical picture reveals mixed signals that could determine Ripple's near-term direction.

The RSI reading of 35.43 places XRP in neutral territory, though closer to oversold conditions, which historically suggests potential for a technical bounce. This aligns with analyst observations about oversold conditions creating reversal opportunities.

MACD indicators show bearish momentum with the histogram at 0.0000, indicating weakening downward pressure but no clear bullish divergence yet. The MACD line at -0.1533 remains below the signal line, confirming the ongoing bearish trend structure.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals XRP trading near the lower portion of the bands, with the current position at 0.22 (where 0 represents the lower band). The upper band sits at $2.12, middle band at $1.69, and lower band at $1.25, suggesting significant room for upward movement if momentum shifts.

Moving averages paint a bearish picture across all timeframes, with XRP trading below the 7-day SMA ($1.44), 20-day SMA ($1.69), 50-day SMA ($1.88), and 200-day SMA ($2.44). This indicates a strong downtrend that would need to reverse for bullish targets to materialize.

Ripple Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

If XRP can break above the immediate resistance at $1.47, the next target becomes $1.50, which aligns with the strong resistance level identified in the technical data. A successful break of this level could trigger momentum toward the 20-day SMA at $1.69.

The most optimistic Ripple forecast scenarios target the $1.93-$1.97 range within the coming weeks, requiring XRP to reclaim multiple moving averages. This would represent approximately 35% upside from current levels and would need confirmation from increasing volume and RSI moving into overbought territory above 70.

Year-end targets ranging from $2.60 to above $4.00, as suggested by analysts, would require a fundamental shift in market sentiment and sustained buying pressure that pushes XRP above the 200-day moving average.

Bearish Scenario

The downside risk remains significant if XRP fails to hold current support levels. The immediate support at $1.41 has been tested, and a break below could trigger selling toward $1.38, representing the strong support level.

A more severe correction could see XRP test the lower Bollinger Band at $1.25, which would represent approximately 13% downside from current levels. This scenario becomes more likely if the broader cryptocurrency market experiences additional selling pressure or if regulatory concerns resurface around Ripple's operations.

The daily ATR of $0.15 suggests moderate volatility, meaning moves in either direction could happen relatively quickly once momentum builds.

Should You Buy XRP? Entry Strategy

For those considering XRP positions, the current technical setup suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. A conservative entry strategy would involve watching for a sustained break above $1.47 with accompanying volume increase, which could confirm the beginning of a reversal.

Alternatively, aggressive buyers might consider accumulating on any dips toward the $1.38-$1.41 support zone, using tight stop-losses below $1.35 to manage downside risk. This approach capitalizes on the oversold technical conditions while limiting potential losses.

Position sizing should account for XRP's volatility, with risk management protocols ensuring no single position represents more than 2-3% of total portfolio value. Given the mixed technical signals, dollar-cost averaging into positions over several weeks may prove more effective than large lump-sum entries.

Conclusion

This XRP price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Ripple's near-term prospects, with technical indicators showing oversold conditions that could support a bounce toward $1.97 over the coming month. However, the broader trend remains bearish until XRP can reclaim key moving averages.

The analyst consensus pointing toward $2.60-$4.00 year-end targets provides upside potential, but achieving these levels requires significant fundamental catalysts and sustained buying interest. Current technical analysis supports the view that XRP may be building a base for future advancement, though patience will be required.

This Ripple forecast is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risks, and prices can be highly volatile. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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