Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

896 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Prediction markets are evolving into broader information trading venues: Bernstein

Prediction markets are evolving into broader information trading venues: Bernstein

Kalshi anchor partner Robinhood processed $2.5 billion in prediction-market volume in October — implying a $300 million annualized run rate.

Author: Coinstats
Traders on prediction markets see a 30% chance Supreme Court backs Trump’s tariffs

Traders on prediction markets see a 30% chance Supreme Court backs Trump’s tariffs

The post Traders on prediction markets see a 30% chance Supreme Court backs Trump’s tariffs appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A protester with the Main Street Alliance holds a sign outside the U.S. Supreme Court, as its justices are set to hear oral arguments on U.S. President Donald Trump’s bid to preserve sweeping tariffs after lower courts ruled that Trump overstepped his authority, in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 5, 2025. Nathan Howard | Reuters Traders slashed odds that the Supreme Court will uphold President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariffs after justices on Wednesday signaled doubts about the legality of the administration’s sweeping trade powers. On Kalshi, contracts tied to whether the court would rule in favor of Trump’s tariffs slipped to around 30% from nearly 50% before Wednesday’s hearing. Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards A similar contract on platform Polymarket dropped to about 30% from more than 40% earlier in the week, reflecting traders’ growing belief that the justices may strike down the policy. Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards The moves came after several conservative justices joined their liberal colleagues in expressing unease about the broad authority Trump claimed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs on imports. They sharply questioned Solicitor General D. John Sauer on the Trump administration’s legal justification of the tariffs, which critics say infringes on the power of Congress to tax. Lower federal courts have ruled that Trump lacked the legal authority to impose the so-called reciprocal tariffs on imports from many U.S. trading partners, and fentanyl tariffs on products from Canada, China and Mexico. Prediction markets, which allow traders to bet on real-world events, often react swiftly to perceived signals during high-profile court hearings. Wednesday’s shift suggested that traders viewed the justices’ tone as an indicator of headwinds for the president’s trade agenda. The Supreme Court will not issue a decision in the case on Wednesday. It is not clear when the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Zohran Mamdani Wins NYC Mayoral Election; Polymarket Prediction Markets Prove Accurate Again

Zohran Mamdani Wins NYC Mayoral Election; Polymarket Prediction Markets Prove Accurate Again

The post Zohran Mamdani Wins NYC Mayoral Election; Polymarket Prediction Markets Prove Accurate Again appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Zohran Mamdani won the New York City mayoral election with just over 50% of the votes, defeating Andrew Cuomo, as crypto prediction markets like Polymarket accurately forecasted with 92% trader confidence, highlighting the growing reliability of blockchain-based betting platforms in political outcomes. Mamdani’s victory marks NYC’s first Muslim mayor and bolsters progressive influence, with crypto markets predicting his win at 92% odds on Polymarket. Polymarket’s track record includes correctly forecasting the Democratic primary in June and Trump’s presidential win, demonstrating prediction markets’ predictive power. Mamdani’s legislative history shows caution on crypto, including co-sponsoring a bill for a moratorium on proof-of-work mining due to environmental concerns, with New York eyeing $158 million in annual revenue from crypto taxes. Explore Zohran Mamdani’s NYC mayor win and crypto prediction markets’ role. Discover how blockchain forecasts shaped the election—read now for insights on policy impacts. What Does Zohran Mamdani’s Victory Mean for Crypto in New York City? Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York City mayor signals a balanced approach to cryptocurrency, emphasizing consumer protection and environmental sustainability over rapid market growth. The 34-year-old…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto.com Launches Entertainment Prediction Market

Crypto.com Launches Entertainment Prediction Market

The post Crypto.com Launches Entertainment Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto.com, in partnership with Hollywood.com, has unveiled a legal, regulated prediction market built around the entertainment industry. The new product allows users to make predictions on films, actors, TV shows, musicians, awards and theater productions. Under the partnership, event contracts will be offered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse affiliated with Crypto.com. The market will run through Hollywood.com, offering users a “safe and federally regulated way” to engage with entertainment predictions. With this move, Crypto.com is moving beyond its existing portfolio of derivatives and sports event contracts and entering the broader forecasting space. Thanks to its U.S. regulatory licence,including a DCO amendment from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — the firm can offer cleared margin derivatives and event contracts to U.S. users. How the Platform Works and Why It Matters Users will be able to trade predictions on a variety of entertainment-based events, such as which film will top the box office, who will win major awards, or which musician will hit #1 on the charts. Prices update in real time, letting users react instantly to news and developments in the world of show business. This development comes amid growing interest in prediction markets. For example, the wider crypto-derivatives space has seen monthly volumes of over US $1.3 trillion as of late 2023. Meanwhile, Crypto.com itself reported Q3 revenue of around US $1.2 billion and net income of roughly US $75 million, demonstrating its strong position in the market. By coupling entertainment—an area of intense fan engagement—with regulated financial products, the companies hope to tap into a new category of trading and participation. According to Hollywood.com’s co-CEO, this platform is the first fully-dedicated entertainment prediction market. Source: https://coinpaper.com/12101/crypto-com-partners-with-hollywood-com-to-launch-prediction-market

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket hits ATHs in volume and traders driven by POLY token announcement and U.S. re-entry plans

Polymarket hits ATHs in volume and traders driven by POLY token announcement and U.S. re-entry plans

The post Polymarket hits ATHs in volume and traders driven by POLY token announcement and U.S. re-entry plans appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket hit record highs in October for volume, active traders, and new market launches, driven by the POLY token announcement, U.S. market re-entry plans, and a potential $15B fundraising round. Summary Polymarket saw over 477,000 active traders and more than $3 billion in trading volume, surpassing the prior January peak. The surge was likely fueled by the POLY token announcement and airdrop, plans to re-enter the U.S. market, and a potential $15 billion fundraising round. Prediction markets overall experienced strong growth, with Kalshi trading over $4.4 billion and attracting fresh VC interest. Polymarket reached record highs in October, with over 477,000 active traders—the platform’s largest monthly user base to date. This represents a 48% increase from September and surpasses the previous peak of approximately 462,000 traders seen during the U.S. election in January, according to data from The Block. Trading volume and new market creation also set monthly records, with more than $3 billion traded, more than double the total from the prior month. Polymarket active traders (monthly) | Source: The Block The surge in activity on the leading prediction market platform coincides with several key developments. In October, Polymarket announced the POLY token and an accompanying airdrop. Around the same time, the platform revealed plans for its re-entry into the U.S. market. Additionally, Polymarket’s potential fundraising round valuing the company at $15 billion may have encouraged market makers and liquidity providers to seed additional markets. The October spike aligns with broader growth in the prediction-market sector. Kalshi prediction market operator also reported record activity, with over $4.4 billion traded in October. The firm is also attracting fresh VC interest at valuations exceeding $10 billion, according to recent reports from Bloomberg. According to The Block’s Data & Insights newsletter, “October’s spike looks less like a one-off and more like a step-change…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto.com and Hollywood.com Plan Entertainment Prediction Markets Using CRO Technology

Crypto.com and Hollywood.com Plan Entertainment Prediction Markets Using CRO Technology

The post Crypto.com and Hollywood.com Plan Entertainment Prediction Markets Using CRO Technology appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Crypto.com has partnered with Hollywood.com to launch entertainment prediction markets, allowing users to trade on outcomes in films, TV, music, and awards. This CFTC-compliant initiative, powered by Crypto.com Derivatives North America, brings real-time betting to Hollywood events, expanding crypto’s role in pop culture predictions. Exclusive collaboration introduces event contracts for movies, actors, and award shows, enabling fans to predict entertainment outcomes securely. Hollywood.com will promote these markets to its global audience, combining entertainment news with crypto trading technology. Prediction markets have seen explosive growth, with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi achieving multi-billion-dollar valuations and record trading volumes in 2024. Crypto.com launches entertainment prediction markets with Hollywood.com for films, TV, and awards. Trade opinions on pop culture events securely—join the future of fan engagement today! (148 characters) What are Crypto.com’s entertainment prediction markets with Hollywood.com? Crypto.com entertainment prediction markets represent a new venture where users can wager on outcomes in the entertainment industry through event contracts. Announced on November 3, 2025, this exclusive partnership with Hollywood.com focuses on topics like film releases, television episodes, music achievements, and major awards. These…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto.com partners Hollywood.com on new prediction market

Crypto.com partners Hollywood.com on new prediction market

The post Crypto.com partners Hollywood.com on new prediction market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets have a new product offering targeting entertainment fans, thanks to a key partnership between Crypto.com and Hollywood.com. Summary Crypto.com and Hollywood entertainment platform have partnered to launch new prediction market products. The entertainment-focused prediction market will offer contracts Crypto.com Derivatives North America. Prediction markets is a rapidly expanding ecosystem, with Polymarket and Kalshi key players. Crypto.com announced the launch of its new prediction market on Monday, noting an exclusive partnership with the entertainment website Hollywood.com. The two companies’ entertainment-focused prediction market will offer prediction products across Hollywood.com, with contracts powered by Crypto.com’s regulated platform Derivatives North America. Hollywood movies and shows come to prediction market Crypto.com Derivatives North America is an exchange and clearinghouse registered by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. With this offering, Crypto.com will offer customers access to prediction contracts on movies, actors, and shows. The move comes as prediction markets witness significant growth. “The success of prediction markets demonstrates the massive appetite for trading on the outcome of future events—and now Hollywood.com is bringing that innovation to entertainment’s biggest stage,” Mitchell Rubenstein, co-chief executive officer of Hollywood.com, said in a statement. In October, Trump Media & Technology Group, the company behind Truth Social, announced plans for a new regulated prediction market, also in partnership with Crypto.com’s North America derivatives unit.  Crypto Market Pulse: 🤝 Truth Social to offer prediction markets through @cryptocom💸 Stablecoin issuers capture majority of crypto revenue📊 Crypto Market Data by @cryptocom is now available through various AI LLMs The details 👇https://t.co/nurfDNPi7j pic.twitter.com/Jag1SkUeBS — Crypto.com Research & Insights (@cryptocom_rni) November 3, 2025 The Solana decentralized exchange platform, Jupiter, also recently entered the space with a beta version of a prediction market backed by Kalshi.  Meanwhile, prediction market operator Kalshi has reportedly attracted fresh venture capital interest at a valuation of over $10 billion.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Hollywood’s Next Frontier: New Prediction Market Lets Users Bet on Movies, TV, Gaming

Hollywood’s Next Frontier: New Prediction Market Lets Users Bet on Movies, TV, Gaming

Entertainment meets blockchain in a seismic leap as a new prediction market lets fans legally participate in federally regulated entertainment event contracts—placing predictions on movies, music, and celebrity moments—merging crypto innovation with mainstream entertainment in a first-of-its-kind experience. Crypto and Hollywood Unite for Groundbreaking Prediction Market Prediction markets are stepping into the entertainment spotlight as […]

Author: Coinstats
Future.Fun Launches the World Cup of Prediction Markets: Registrations Open for the 1st Edition

Future.Fun Launches the World Cup of Prediction Markets: Registrations Open for the 1st Edition

The post Future.Fun Launches the World Cup of Prediction Markets: Registrations Open for the 1st Edition appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This content is provided by a sponsor. PRESS RELEASE. 3rd November 2025 – future.fun has officially opened registrations for the first-ever World Cup of Prediction Markets, the largest digital competition ever created in the forecasting and prediction market space, built on top of Kalshi and Polymarket. This first edition marks a defining step toward uniting […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/future-fun-launches-the-world-cup-of-prediction-markets-registrations-open-for-the-1st-edition/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi’s Record Volumes Challenge Polymarket’s Dominance in Prediction Markets

Kalshi’s Record Volumes Challenge Polymarket’s Dominance in Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi’s Record Volumes Challenge Polymarket’s Dominance in Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Kalshi prediction markets reached a record $4.39 billion in trading volume during October 2025, surpassing competitors like Polymarket. This surge was primarily driven by sports betting and current events, highlighting the growing appeal of non-blockchain-based platforms for mainstream users. Kalshi’s volumes hit $4.39 billion in October 2025, setting a new monthly benchmark for prediction markets. The platform’s success stems from accessibility to Web2 users, bypassing crypto barriers that limit rivals like Polymarket. Sports bets accounted for the majority of activity, with nearly $1 billion traded in the final week of October, per Dune Analytics data. Discover how Kalshi prediction markets achieved record $4.39B volumes in October 2025, outpacing Polymarket. Explore the rise of mainstream trading platforms and what it means for crypto alternatives. Stay informed and trade smarter today. What Are Kalshi Prediction Markets and Their Recent Record Volumes? Kalshi prediction markets represent a regulated platform for betting on real-world outcomes, such as elections and sports, without relying on blockchain technology. In October 2025, these markets shattered previous records by achieving $4.39 billion in monthly trading volume, largely fueled…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews