Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

897 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Prediction markets, DATs, the fee switch, and Project Crypto

Prediction markets, DATs, the fee switch, and Project Crypto

The post Prediction markets, DATs, the fee switch, and Project Crypto appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This is a segment from The Breakdown newsletter. To read full editions, subscribe. “If you can’t make money, you may want to consider being quiet. Maybe the market knows more than you do.” — Jeff Yass Today, The Breakdown looks at developing stories and links from around the cryptoverse. After Jeff Yass brought his math and poker skills onto trading floors in the 1980s, global options markets stopped looking like a casino and started looking like a science. Yass thinks prediction markets could do the same for the world. First and foremost, he says, “It will stop wars.” Yass cites the second Iraq War, which President Bush said would cost the US $20 billion but is now thought to have cost at least $2 trillion, and maybe as much as $6 trillion. It’s unlikely prediction markets would have settled on such an astronomical number, but Yass believes they might have predicted something like $500 billion, in which case “people might have said, ‘Look, we don’t want this war.’” That would have saved many, many lives, as well: “If people know how expensive it’s going to be and how disastrous it’s going to be, they’ll try to come up with other solutions.” Prediction markets, he says, “can really slow down the lies that politicians are constantly telling us.” He also cites applications in insurance, technology and even dating. Asked by the 16-year-old podcast host what advice he’d give young people, Yass suggested they could avoid relationship mistakes by creating an anonymous prediction market for their friends to bet on. “I believe in markets,” he concluded. It sounds like a dumb idea: Unlike stocks with their open-ended valuations, prediction markets should converge toward the single fixed probability of a binary outcome. But the author of No Dumb Ideas crunched the numbers and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Taps Coinbase to Manage USDC Deposits on Its Prediction Market Platform

Kalshi Taps Coinbase to Manage USDC Deposits on Its Prediction Market Platform

The post Kalshi Taps Coinbase to Manage USDC Deposits on Its Prediction Market Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi has partnered with Coinbase to provide USDC custody and settlement on the platform. This gives users the type of financial system used by traditional markets. Kalshi Picks Coinbase Custody for USDC Settlement In a recent blog post, the exchange announced that Kalshi has selected its Custody platform to secure the USDC used in its trading platform. According to the exchange, all USDC flows for the firm will be managed by its institutional custody arm. This will keep user deposits, withdrawals, and other transactions fully protected under a safe framework. It will also allow Kalshi to tap into Coinbase’s liquidity support and custody safeguards. These two tools are essential to any platform dealing in large volumes of stablecoin transactions. Prediction markets allow participants to trade outcomes tied to real-world events. These types of platforms only work when traders trust that the money they are trading with is stable. USDC provides price stability to manage such markets, while Coinbase brings with it a system that institutions demand. These would give Kalshi the foundation it needs to boost event trading. Kalshi’s move comes after the US SEC announced last month that state-chartered trust companies can now serve as qualified custodians for crypto assets. However, this is provided they satisfy specific checks.  Advisers under the older law had to use qualified custodians. Usually, these custodians were either national banks or trust companies recognized by the federal government. Prediction Markets Sees High Participation In 2025, more investors joined prediction markets. For instance, DraftKings reported gains of over 40% this year. Robinhood’s market performance also increased by more than 420%. Kalshi also received funding offers that valued the company at over $10 billion. This is an increase from the $5 billion it had earlier in the month. In June, Kalshi raised $185 million at a…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Fanatics will use Crypto.com prediction market

Fanatics will use Crypto.com prediction market

Fanatics is in early talks with Crypto.com on for a prediction market collaboration, signaling a potential pivot into regulated event contracts. Why is the Fanatics prediction market tie-up back on the table? Fanatics is a sports-focused retail and technology company that also runs collectibles, including trading cards. It has raised over $700 million from backers […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
UFC Parent TKO Signs Polymarket to Exclusive Prediction Market Deal

UFC Parent TKO Signs Polymarket to Exclusive Prediction Market Deal

The post UFC Parent TKO Signs Polymarket to Exclusive Prediction Market Deal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief UFC parent company TKO has signed a multi-year, exclusive deal with prediction market platform Polymarket. Polymarket’s crypto-powered markets will be used for broadcast and social media content for UFC and Zuffa Boxing. Polymarket is valued at $9 billion following a recent $2 billion investment from NYSE owner Intercontinental Exchange. Ultimate Fighting Championship parent company TKO Group Holdings has agreed to a multi-year deal with Polymarket to make the platform the official, exclusive prediction market partner of UFC and Zuffa Boxing. The collaboration introduces engagement features designed to help fans interact with combat sports. Central to the partnership is a real-time Fan Prediction Scoreboard that will debut during UFC broadcasts, visualizing global fan sentiment and fight forecasts as events unfold. This data-driven tool is designed to bring audience sentiment into the matches. “Few sports generate emotion and debate like the UFC,” said Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket, in a statement. “By bringing prediction markets to the broadcast and arena, we’re giving fans a new way to be part of the action—not just watching outcomes but watching the world’s expectations evolve with every round.” On CNBC’s “Squawk Box” early Thursday, he elaborated on the team-up. “What’s exciting about our approach is you can buy and sell and you can trade just like a stock throughout the fight,” said Coplan. “You can buy and sell as momentum swings… we will start with that and we will take from there based on customer feedback.”  The companies will also launch a social media series called “Matchup Predictions—Who’s Next?”, which will use Polymarket data to fuel speculation about potential matchups for top fighters following their wins. Polymarket will also serve as the inaugural official brand partner of Zuffa Boxing, the professional boxing promotion launching in January 2026, bringing similar fan engagement…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Morning Minute: FanDuel Enters Prediction Markets

Morning Minute: FanDuel Enters Prediction Markets

The post Morning Minute: FanDuel Enters Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. Subscribe to the Morning Minute on Substack. GM! Today’s top news: Crypto majors dip then rebound on US Gov’t reopening news; BTC at $103,200 XRP leads majors ahead of its ETF launch this morning FanDuel partners with CME to launch prediction market app ‘FanDuel Predicts’ New ZEC DAT Leap Therapeutics shares jump 400% on Thursday Lido proposes enshrined buybacks along with other changes 🎯 FanDuel Enters Prediction Markets Sportsbooks are piling into prediction markets. But are they here to stay? Or is this a temporary workaround? 📌 What Happened FanDuel, in partnership with CME Group, announced the launch of a new prediction-markets platform set to go live in December 2025. The new standalone mobile app will be named ‘Fanduel Predicts’ and will allow users to trade event-based contracts, initially covering sports, economic indicators, crypto and more. This major announcement comes just a few weeks after DraftKings announced its own entry into prediction markets, putting both major U.S. sport-betting brands in the prediction-market race. 🗣️ What They’re Saying “We can’t wait to bring FanDuel’s proven approach to product innovation into this dynamic sector,” said Amy Howe, CEO at FanDuel. “Our partnership with CME Group allows us to leverage their deep market expertise built over decades while delivering the seamless, accessible and trusted experience our customers expect.” “Our new event contracts on benchmarks, economic indicators and now sports will appeal to a new generation of potential participants who are not active in these markets today,” said CME Group Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Terry Duffy. “This launch will dramatically expand our distribution and reach, connecting directly with FanDuel’s millions of registered U.S. users.” 🧠 Why It Matters So DraftKings and now FanDuel…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
UFC’s parent company signs multiyear deal with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets to live fights

UFC’s parent company signs multiyear deal with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets to live fights

The post UFC’s parent company signs multiyear deal with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets to live fights appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways TKO Group Holdings has partnered with Polymarket in a multiyear deal to weave prediction market technology into live combat sports. Fans will be able to follow real-time data on sentiment and fight momentum, enhancing engagement beyond traditional sports betting. Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has signed a multiyear deal with TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of UFC and Zuffa Boxing, to expand crypto-integrated prediction markets. The partnership builds on Polymarket’s recent collaborations with sports organizations, including the NHL and PrizePicks, to integrate event contracts directly into live events. Prediction markets have gained traction across major sports leagues through similar deals that enable fan-driven engagement alongside traditional betting. Polymarket will provide real-time data visualizations for UFC and Zuffa Boxing fights, including fan sentiment and momentum tracking for upcoming cards. The platform has been expanding its sports engagement capabilities as prediction markets become more mainstream in professional athletics. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/polymarket-ufc-exclusive-prediction-market-deal/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
TKO, Polymarket strike multiyear deal to integrate prediction markets into UFC events

TKO, Polymarket strike multiyear deal to integrate prediction markets into UFC events

The post TKO, Polymarket strike multiyear deal to integrate prediction markets into UFC events appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – FEBRUARY 01: (R-L) Michael Page of England punches Shara Magomedov of Russia in a middleweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at anb Arena on February 01, 2025 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC) Chris Unger | Ufc | Getty Images TKO Group Holdings — the parent company of UFC and Zuffa Boxing — has signed a multiyear partnership with Polymarket to bring real-time prediction markets into live combat sports. The deal makes UFC and Zuffa Boxing the first sports organizations to incorporate prediction market technology into live events. Polymarket will provide real-time data visualizations of fan sentiment and momentum during fights, offering an additional layer of engagement alongside traditional sports betting. “By partnering with Shayne and his team at Polymarket, we’re unlocking a new dimension of fan engagement,” said Ariel Emanuel, executive chair and CEO of TKO, in a statement. “Integrating Polymarket with the UFC and Zuffa Boxing live experience will help fans interact with these events in real time, transforming passive viewership into active participation.” The deal follows Polymarket’s recent partnerships in the sports world, including collaborations with the NHL and PrizePicks, as the company continues to expand beyond politics and global events into live entertainment. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan said the technology gives fans an entirely new storytelling lens. “Few sports generate emotion and debate like the UFC,” he said. “By bringing prediction markets to the broadcast and arena, we’re giving fans a new way to be part of the action — not just watching outcomes but watching the world’s expectations evolve with every round.” Beginning in 2026, all UFC and Zuffa Boxing events will stream exclusively in the U.S. on Paramount+. Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/13/tko-polymarket-strike-multiyear-deal-to-integrate-prediction-markets-into-ufc-events.html

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
ETC Vs APT Price Prediction: Market Weakness Persists – EV2 Presale Captures Investor Attention with “Fracture” Gameplay Revolution

ETC Vs APT Price Prediction: Market Weakness Persists – EV2 Presale Captures Investor Attention with “Fracture” Gameplay Revolution

The post ETC Vs APT Price Prediction: Market Weakness Persists – EV2 Presale Captures Investor Attention with “Fracture” Gameplay Revolution appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ethereum Classic and Aptos prices decline amid weak sentiment, while the EV2 presale attracts attention with its new Fracture gameplay and reward-driven economy. Ethereum Classic (ETC) and Aptos (APT) recorded daily losses amid slowing market activity, while the Earth Version 2 ($EV2) presale continued to attract growing attention across the Web3 community. ETC traded near $15.21, down 4.2%, and APT hovered around $3.03 after a 3.87% decline. The two assets faced muted demand as traders shifted toward projects showing stronger ecosystem engagement, such as EV2. Ethereum Classic Maintains Downtrend Amid Weak Volume Ethereum Classic remained under selling pressure throughout the 24-hour session, fluctuating between $15.17 and $16.04 before closing at $15.65. The intraday high near $16.00 was short-lived as sellers dominated during the latter half of trading. Market capitalization stood at $2.35 billion, supported by a circulating supply of 154.3 million ETC, which is nearly equal to its total supply.   ETC drops below $15.65 as bearish pressure builds across the market. (Source: CoinCodex)   The daily trading volume was at $88.13 million, which was approximately 3.7 percent of total capitalization, and market activity was low. The immediate support zone is located between 15.00 and 15.10, and the resistance level lies between 16.00 and 16.10. A fall below 15.00 can continue, and a consistent advance above 15.80 will herald a short-lived recovery period.   The long-term base of ETC is around the $14.00 level, and, with some previous consolidation points, it is likely to stabilize. Nevertheless, the absence of robust purchasing volumes also suggests that traders are holding back until there are more pronounced movement indicators, and then they will rejoin the market. Aptos Trades Sideways with Liquidity Tightening Aptos mirrored the broader market sentiment, maintaining a bearish posture as price action stayed within the $2.95 to $3.19 range. The…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors

Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors

The post Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways: Polymarket becomes the sole prediction-market provider for Yahoo Finance, integrating live event-odds into Yahoo’s finance platform. Yahoo Finance readers will now access market-driven probabilities tied to macro events, token listings, upgrade calls, regulatory outcomes and more, all in one dashboard. This step brings on-chain forecasting into everyday investing and may reshape how crypto catalysts are priced in. Yahoo Finance is adding a powerful new dimension to its data suite, live outcomes from prediction markets powered by Polymarket. The deal signals prediction odds are moving out of niche crypto corners into mainstream investing. Read More: Chainlink Partners with Polymarket to Accelerate $100B Network of Oracle Ecosystem What the Partnership Means for Investors Yahoo Finance’s integration of Polymarket’s odds converts speculative event-outcomes into data signals that investors can monitor like stocks or macro prints. Event Probabilities Directly on Finance Dashboards For example: when a protocol upgrade date is scheduled or a regulatory decision looms, instead of reading commentary you’ll see a market probability – say, 73% that a DeFi protocol’s token launches by a specific date. That number updates in real-time and influences risk positioning the same way implied vol or futures curve do. This access allows users to: Compare traditional data (earnings estimates, inflation expectations) to prediction market odds. Use probability shifts as early indicators of information flow or sentiment changes. Monitor crypto-specific catalysts (token unlocks, hard forks, ETF filings) through a new lens of crowd-implied probability. Why This Matters for Crypto Markets Mainstream Visibility for Event-driven Tokens Crypto assets often hinge on catalyst events: mainnet launches, regulation, litigation outcome, token unlocks. With Yahoo Finance embedding odds: Token traders can gauge how much risk is already priced in before allocating. Projects get early transparency on sentiment around their launch or upgrade. Economic narratives (e.g., “Will ETH Merge by X…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Yahoo Finance Welcomes Polymarket: Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors

Yahoo Finance Welcomes Polymarket: Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors

Key Takeaways: Polymarket becomes the sole prediction-market provider for Yahoo Finance, integrating live event-odds into Yahoo’s finance platform. Yahoo Finance readers will now access market-driven probabilities tied to macro events, The post Yahoo Finance Welcomes Polymarket: Exclusive Deal Brings Billions to Mainstream Investors appeared first on CryptoNinjas.

Author: Crypto Ninjas