Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin,Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin,

Learn/Trading Guide/Futures/What Are Prediction Futures?

What Are Prediction Futures?

Author: MEXC

Sep 21, 2026MEXC

6 min

Cryptocurrency futures trading attracts countless investors with its high leverage and the ability to profit in both rising and falling markets. However, its complex mechanisms such as margin, leverage, and liquidation prices often discourage many beginners. To lower the entry barrier, MEXC has introduced Event Futures. This feature removes the complexity of traditional futures and brings trading back to its core principle: deciding whether the market will rise or fall.

1. What Are Event Futures?

1.1 What Are Event Futures?

Event Futures allow traders to forecast whether the price of a cryptocurrency will move Up or Down within a set timeframe. Each Futures position represents a trader's prediction of the price direction. Currently, we support two types of Event Futures: Up (Bullish) and Down (Bearish). If the prediction is correct, the trader earns a payout. If the prediction is incorrect, the trader's loss is limited to the USDT amount placed on that Futures position.

1.2 Core Elements of Prediction Futures

Profit: The potential earnings from a Prediction Futures position.
Quantity: The USDT amount you invest, which also represents your maximum possible loss.
Up: Choosing Up means you believe the index price will be higher at settlement.
Down: Choosing Down means you believe the index price will be lower at settlement.
Settlement Amount = Principal + Profit
Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

2. How to Use Event Futures on MEXC

Log in to your MEXC account and go to the Event Futures trading page. Select the trading pair you want, such as BTCUSDT. Choose the expiration time unit (options include 10 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, or 1 day). Enter the Order Quantity, then select whether you expect the price to move Up or Down at expiration time. Finally, click Confirm to submit your trade.

3. Events Futures FAQs

3.1 How is the payout for Events Futures calculated?

If your prediction is correct, you will receive a settlement amount at the expiry of the Futures.

Settlement Amount = Principal + Profit
Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

If your prediction is incorrect, the Futures will expire and you will not receive any settlement amount. The principal paid for that Futures will be considered your loss and will be counted toward the daily loss limit.

If the result is neither higher nor lower than the entry price (that is, the index price at expiry is equal to the target price), you will receive a settlement amount equal to the principal you invested. In this case, there is no profit or loss.

The settlement amount for each Futures is based on the principal paid and the payout applicable at the time of submission.

Example: Suppose the current payout rate is 87%, and you invest 10 USDT to predict the future price of BTC:

If your prediction is correct, you will receive 18.7 USDT in total, which includes 8.7 USDT as profit.
If your prediction is incorrect, you will lose your 10 USDT principal.
If the result is a draw, you will get back your 10 USDT invested principal without any profit or loss.

Note: Profit = Invested Principal × Payout

3.2 How is the payout calculated?

The payout is internally calculated based on the asset's volatility and market risk at a given time and may fluctuate. The payout is determined at the time of the trade and remains fixed for that specific trade. You can view the current up and down payout values directly in the trading area.

As shown in the figure below, the current payout is 80%. If you invest 5 USDT in a prediction and your prediction is correct, you will receive a settlement amount of 9 USDT, of which 4 USDT is your profit.

3.3 Are there any trading limits?

Daily Loss Limit: Each trader has a maximum daily loss limit of 10,000 USDT, which includes potential losses from open orders. This limit is automatically enforced by the platform, and you cannot submit an order that would cause losses beyond the daily cap. For the purpose of the daily loss limit, the principal paid for any open Event Futures is counted as potential loss.
Open Event Futures Limit: You can maintain a maximum of 10 open Event Futures at any given time.
Daily Trade Limit: Unlimited.
Price Limit: Each individual Prediction Future is also subject to a price limit to reduce potential financial risk. The applicable price limit is displayed on the platform.

MEXC reserves the right to adjust the daily loss limit, unexpired Event Futures limit, and/or price limits at any time. Any changes will not affect existing open Event Futures and will not be announced separately.

3.4 Can I close a Event Futures order before it expires?

No. Event Futures cannot be closed before expiration. Once an order is submitted, the trade will remain open until it expires.

3.5 How is the settlement value determined?

The settlement value is automatically determined based on the price index of the underlying asset at the time the Event Future expires.

3.6 How are Event Futures settled?

All Event Futures are settled in USDT. If your prediction is correct, the USDT payout will be credited directly to your Futures Account. If your prediction is incorrect, the loss upon expiration will be the margin you paid for the Event Futures, which will also count toward your daily loss limit (as described above).

3.7 Do Event Futures support API trading?

Event Futures currently do not support API trading.

3.8 What is the minimum stake for Event Futures?

The minimum order amount for Event Futures is 1 USDT, allowing you to participate in trading with a low barrier to entry

3.9 Can Futures bonuses be used for Event Futures?

Event Futures currently do not support the use of Futures bonuses. Users may not use bonuses to trade Event Futures or to offset related losses.

4. Comparison Between MEXC Event Futures and Traditional Perpetual Futures

To better understand the role of MEXC Event Futures, we provide a full comparison with MEXC's traditional USDT-M Futures.

Item	MEXC Event Futures	MEXC Traditional Perpetual Futures
Trading Complexity	Very low, it only requires predicting direction	High, requires managing leverage, margin, and positions
Core Risk	Fixed, maximum loss limited to investment amount	Variable, subject to liquidation (margin call risk)
Leverage/Margin	No need to set leverage or margin	Trader must select leverage and margin mode
Holding Period	Fixed and very short (e.g., 60 seconds)	Flexible, can be held indefinitely (perpetual)
Profit Calculation	Fixed return, known in advance	Floating PNL, depends on price movement and leverage
Target Users	Beginners and traders seeking simplicity	Experienced professional traders

4.1 Scenario Analysis: When to Use MEXC Event Futures

Beginner-Friendly Entry Point: If you are interested in Futures trading but find the complexity intimidating, Event Futures serve as an ideal first step. They allow you to experience the core aspect of trading, predicting market direction, within a clearly defined and controllable risk framework.
Quick Market Plays: When the market shows clear short-term momentum, such as around the release of major economic data, Event Futures allows for rapid speculation without the need to establish and manage a complex perpetual position.
Trading in Short Timeframes: With ultra-short holding periods, trades can be completed within fragmented periods of free time, offering high flexibility for users who cannot continuously monitor the market.

5. Risk Warning and Disclaimer

By using the MEXC Event Futures product, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agreed to the Event Futures Risk Disclosure and Disclaimer.

Trading digital assets and related products such as Event Futures involves significant risk and may result in substantial losses to your positions. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should consult an independent advisor if necessary. Past performance of digital assets and related products does not guarantee future results. Only invest amounts you are prepared to lose.

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