XRP Price Prediction: XRP Holds $1.25–$1.35 Demand While $2.00 Reclaim Remains the Trend Trigger

Recent sessions show the XRP price repeatedly probing the $1.25–$1.35 range on the daily chart, an area that has historically attracted short-term demand. However, the broader structure still reflects lower highs and capped recoveries, keeping momentum corrective rather than bullish until higher resistance levels are reclaimed.

At the time of writing, the XRP current price is fluctuating in the mid-$1.30s after briefly falling toward $1.11 during heightened volatility earlier in the day. The rebound occurred alongside a broader crypto market sell-off that pushed many large-cap assets to multi-month lows. Even so, a higher-timeframe structure still shows XRP moving inside a descending channel that has defined price action since the rejection near $2.00.

After reaching an all-time high of $3.66 in mid-2025, XRP has declined and is now trading at $1.374, with short-term targets slightly above $1.336 if support holds, or lower near $1.368–$1.370 if broken. Source: AmirAliTrading on TradingView

From a technical standpoint, momentum remains corrective rather than bullish unless XRP can reclaim overhead supply.

Put simply, while short-term rebounds are possible, the broader XRP price prediction remains constrained as long as the market trades below $2.00 on daily closes.

Technical Structure Keeps XRP Price Below Key Reclaim Level

On the daily timeframe, XRP failed to retake its prior breakdown level and subsequently rotated back into support. The recent downside wick, which swept liquidity below prior lows, has now been filled. This behavior often signals that stop orders beneath support were cleared, but historically, such sweeps alone do not guarantee trend reversals without follow-through buying.

After failing to reclaim its breakdown level, the price remains within a bearish channel at the $1.25–$1.35 support zone, where a relief bounce is possible, but strength only returns above $2.00, while a break lower risks further downside. Source: Mrctradinglab on TradingView

Key levels being monitored:

• Major support: $1.25–$1.35
• Immediate resistance: $1.40
• Reclaim level: $2.00
• Higher resistance: $3.00
• Structure: Bearish channel intact

Holding above $1.30 could allow a technical bounce toward $1.40–$1.60. However, a confirmed shift in structure would likely require a daily close above $2.00, which would break the sequence of lower highs and signal renewed demand.

Until that occurs, rallies appear consistent with counter-trend moves rather than the start of a sustained advance.

Short-Term Trading Behavior Signals Caution

In the short-term, XRP could retest the $1.97–$2.00 area, which acted as former support before turning into resistance. Markets commonly retest these levels from below, and rejection at that zone could reinforce the existing downtrend.

XRP is being monitored for a potential bearish setup, with focus on a retest of $1.974 resistance and confirmation signals, while a break below Monthly S1 could target $1.395–$1.395 support levels. Source: MSHLFX on TradingView

Monthly pivot levels provide additional context. A daily close beneath monthly S1 would expose lower liquidity pockets near $1.39 and potentially deeper supports if selling accelerates. Conversely, acceptance above resistance would weaken the bearish thesis.

Dollar Strength, Liquidity Conditions, and Ripple XRP Price Action

Macro conditions are also shaping Ripple XRP price behavior. Recent sessions have coincided with a firmer U.S. dollar index (DXY) and reduced risk appetite across crypto markets. When liquidity tightens, capital typically consolidates into Bitcoin or cash positions, leaving altcoins such as Ripple (XRP) more vulnerable to downside pressure.

Following a broad crypto market sell-off that cleared the October 10th, 2025 liquidity wick, two potential short-term scenarios for XRP are being considered. Source: Ruanava on TradingView

This dynamic helps explain why the price of XRP has struggled to sustain recoveries even during brief market-wide rebounds.

After peaking near its prior all-time high around $3.66 in mid-2025, XRP has printed a series of lower highs on weekly charts, a pattern often associated with distribution rather than accumulation. Until broader market liquidity improves, upside attempts may continue to face resistance.

In short, the XRP price today reflects not only asset-specific factors but also macro flows affecting the wider cryptocurrency XRP market.

Outlook: Reaction First, Reversal Later

Based on the current structure, analysts frame the XRP forecast around scenarios rather than firm predictions.

Primary scenario (range stabilization):

If support between $1.25 and $1.35 holds, XRP may stage relief bounces toward $1.40–$1.60 as short-term traders buy dips.

Strength scenario (trend improvement):

A daily close above $2.00 would invalidate the bearish channel and suggest the start of a broader recovery phase.

Risk scenario (continuation lower):

A decisive break below $1.25 could open the door toward $1.10 or psychological support near $1.00.

This framework emphasizes probabilities and invalidation points rather than directional certainty.

XRP was trading at around $1.436, up 6.32% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin

For now, the takeaway remains straightforward: stabilization near $1.30 is constructive but not yet bullish. Sustained strength in the XRP price requires reclaiming higher resistance levels, particularly $2.00.

Until then, the XRP price prediction today remains neutral-to-cautious, with rebounds treated as corrective moves within a broader consolidation phase rather than confirmation of a lasting reversal.