Ripple and Circleโs applications for U.S. national trust bank charters are being framed less as a bold industry move and more as a calculated, defensive pivot in response to looming regulation.
In an interview with CryptoNews, Alice Li, Investment Partner and Head of North America at Foresight Ventures, explains that the move is fundamentally about future-proofing operations amid rising pressure from the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill reshaping stablecoin oversight in the United States.
In a historic move for U.S. crypto regulation this week, the GENIUS Actโformally known as the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Actโhas cleared both chambers of Congress.
โThe GENIUS Act makes clear that any issuer aiming for scale must meet bank-level regulatory standards,โ said Li, whose investment focus spans stablecoin infrastructure, payment rails, and Web3 applications.
โApplying for a bank charter doesnโt guarantee approvalโbut it signals long-term compliance intent to regulators and partners.โ
Li expects the stablecoin sector to split into two camps over the next 12 to 18 months: institutional-focused players pursuing full licensing and banking integration, and DeFi-native or offshore issuers targeting niche use cases.
As U.S. regulatory clarity solidifies, banks and traditional financial rails will face growing pressure to integrate stablecoins, not out of ideological alignment, but due to user demand for faster, cheaper, programmable financial products.
As the stablecoin market matures, Li says the ability to secure a U.S. banking license is quickly becoming the sectorโs defining edgeโand an operational filter for investors.
โWe no longer evaluate infrastructure startups purely on technical sophistication. Regulatory readiness and ability to integrate with licensed issuers are now critical,โ she notes.
While Rippleโs and Circleโs path toward becoming full U.S. banks may crowd out direct USD stablecoin competition, Li sees fertile ground for certain technologies. These include on-chain compliance tools, real-time risk monitoring systems, tokenization middleware, and fiat-crypto bridge infrastructure. Startups able to plug into the evolving regulated stackโrather than compete head-onโwill be well positioned.
Still, licenses come at a cost. โLicenses are both a moat and a constraint,โ Li explained.
โFor U.S. dominance, theyโre non-negotiable. Agility is reduced, but large-scale adoption requires regulatory alignment.โ For new entrants, distribution is keyโbut without regulatory credentials, major partners wonโt engage.
While U.S. bank charters may offer a long-term edge domestically and with institutional clients, Li believes global stablecoin competition will remain multi-speed. Offshore players like Tether will continue to dominate in DeFi and cross-border use cases due to flexibility and fewer compliance demands.
โIn the short term, Tether and similar issuers wonโt lose dominance in DeFi,โ she said. โBut as regulated players integrate into fintech apps and banking stacks, theyโll gradually absorb more institutional and retail flowsโespecially in treasury and on/off-ramp applications.โ
International jurisdictions are already reacting. โThe UAE, Singapore, and Hong Kong are actively offering lighter-touch frameworks to attract issuers,โ Li said.
Paradoxically, issuers regulated under the GENIUS Act may even find it easier to integrate into these emerging hubs, as U.S. oversight lends legitimacy to cross-border deals.
Li concludes that real-world asset (RWA) tokenizationโalready gaining tractionโcould become the bridge between traditional finance and crypto.
โJust like Robinhood democratized equities, hybrid models will drive compliant, user-centric financial products,โ she said. The GENIUS Act, rather than killing innovation, may accelerate bank-crypto collaborations, reshaping the financial system at its core.