TON Price Prediction: Toncoin Targets $1.44-$1.58 Recovery by March 2026

Caroline Bishop Feb 12, 2026 16:46

TON trades at $1.38 with neutral RSI at 43.06. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $1.44-$1.58 range within 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking above key resistance levels.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.41-$1.44 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.32-$1.58 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.44 • Critical support: $1.27

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent days, the available technical data from major trading platforms provides crucial insights into TON's price trajectory. According to on-chain data from Binance, Toncoin has shown modest recovery momentum with a 4.88% gain in the past 24 hours, suggesting renewed buying interest at current levels.

The lack of fresh analyst commentary indicates market participants are taking a cautious approach to TON, waiting for clearer directional signals before making bold predictions. This measured sentiment often precedes significant price movements as traders position for potential breakouts.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current technical picture for TON presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Trading at $1.38, Toncoin sits below most key moving averages, indicating the asset remains in a corrective phase from higher levels.

The RSI reading of 43.06 positions TON in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions. This provides room for price appreciation without immediate selling pressure from momentum indicators. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, potentially signaling an upcoming reversal.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON trading at 0.38 position between the bands, with the upper band at $1.57 and lower band at $1.26. The middle band (20-period SMA) at $1.41 serves as immediate resistance, while the current position suggests limited downside risk.

Key resistance levels emerge at $1.41 (immediate) and $1.44 (strong), while support holds at $1.32 (immediate) and $1.27 (strong). The 24-hour trading range of $1.30-$1.39 confirms these technical boundaries.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

A bullish TON price prediction scenario targets the $1.44-$1.58 range over the next 4-6 weeks. The path higher requires breaking above the immediate resistance at $1.41, which coincides with the 20-period SMA.

Successful reclaim of the $1.44 level would trigger momentum toward the upper Bollinger Band at $1.57, representing a 14% upside from current levels. The 50-period SMA at $1.58 provides an additional target, though reaching this level would require sustained buying pressure and broader crypto market support.

Volume confirmation above 24-hour averages would strengthen the bullish case, particularly if accompanied by RSI moving above 50.

Bearish Scenario

The bearish Toncoin forecast centers on a breakdown below $1.32 support, potentially targeting the $1.27 strong support level. A breach of this zone could expose TON to further weakness toward the lower Bollinger Band at $1.26.

Extended weakness below the 200-period SMA at $2.26 (significantly above current price) indicates the long-term trend remains challenged. Risk factors include broader crypto market pressure and continued institutional selling.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

Current levels around $1.38 present a reasonable entry opportunity for those seeking exposure to TON, with defined risk management parameters. Conservative buyers should wait for a break above $1.41 to confirm bullish momentum before establishing positions.

Aggressive traders might consider dollar-cost averaging between $1.35-$1.38, setting stop-losses below $1.27 to limit downside risk. The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, with potential 14% upside versus 8% downside to key support.

Position sizing should account for crypto volatility, with the daily ATR of $0.11 indicating significant intraday price swings.

Conclusion

This TON price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the coming weeks, with technical indicators supporting a potential recovery toward $1.44-$1.58. The neutral RSI and stalled bearish momentum create favorable conditions for upside moves, though broader market conditions will influence the timeline.

Traders should monitor the $1.41 resistance level closely, as a decisive break above this zone would validate the bullish Toncoin forecast. Current risk-reward dynamics favor patient buyers willing to hold through short-term volatility.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

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