Daily Market Update: Iran Ceasefire Clock Is Ticking — and Markets Are Watching Closely

TLDR

• Bitcoin rose 1.5% to $75,733 as Iran confirmed it will send a delegation to Pakistan ceasefire talks
• The Iran-Pakistan ceasefire expires Wednesday, with Trump saying he is unlikely to extend it
• US stock futures edged up Tuesday after the Nasdaq ended a 13-day winning streak
• Apple CEO Tim Cook is stepping down, to be replaced by hardware chief John Ternus
• Public bitcoin miners sold a record 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026, putting pressure on price recovery

Bitcoin climbed back above $75,000 on Tuesday as markets responded to news that Iran will send a delegation to a second round of ceasefire talks with Pakistan.

The cryptocurrency was up 1.5% over 24 hours, trading at $75,733. Ether rose 1.2% to $2,310, XRP gained 1.3% to $1.43, and BNB climbed 1.5% to $630. Solana was the only top-10 coin to underperform, up just 0.9% and down 1.1% on the week.

The move came as broader markets also stabilized. The MSCI All Country World Index climbed 0.1%, led by Asian equities. The regional tech index advanced 2.4%.

US stock futures also edged higher Tuesday morning. Futures linked to the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.4%, and Dow futures added 0.2%.

The gains followed a rough Monday, when all three major US benchmarks closed in the red. Tensions rose after Donald Trump said the US had seized an Iranian-flagged cargo vessel in the Gulf of Oman.

The Iran-Pakistan ceasefire is set to expire Wednesday evening Washington time. Trump said Monday he is unlikely to extend it. Three vessels attempted transit through the Strait of Hormuz early Tuesday, with US and Iranian blockades still in place.

Brent crude fell 0.7% to $94.81 a barrel. Gold slipped 0.6% to around $4,800, and silver dropped 1% to $78.90.

Bitcoin Lags Equities Despite Recovery

Despite Tuesday’s bounce, Bitcoin has lagged the broader equity rally. The MSCI All Country World Index has been on an 11-day rally, while Bitcoin has spent the same period rebuilding from below $74,000.

Funding rates on Bitcoin perpetual futures have stayed negative for roughly 46 consecutive days, the longest such stretch since the FTX collapse in late 2022, according to Bloomberg data.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $996.4 million last week, per SoSoValue. Ethereum spot ETFs took in $275.8 million over the same period.

Research firm Kaiko noted that a break above $76,000 could open a path toward $85,000.

Miners Selling at Record Pace

Public bitcoin mining companies sold 32,000 BTC in the first quarter of 2026, according to TheEnergyMag. That is more than all of 2025 combined and above the 20,000 BTC sold after the Terra collapse in Q2 2022.

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty fell 2.43% to 135.59 trillion at the latest adjustment. Network hashrate recovered from around 978 exahashes per second to 992 EH/s this month, per Glassnode.

On the stock side, Apple confirmed that CEO Tim Cook will step down. Senior vice president of hardware engineering John Ternus will take over. Apple stock slipped 0.5% in after-hours trading following the announcement.

Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh told his confirmation hearing that the Fed must maintain its independence from political pressure. He did not make any firm statements on interest rates.

Earnings results are due this week from United Airlines, Intel, and Tesla.

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