On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

Santiment: $100K Bitcoin Call Frenzy Signals Contrarian Risk

2026/01/07 13:30
News Brief
On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

Summary

On‑chain and derivatives data from Santiment show a classic contrarian warning signal: after Bitcoin pushed above $94.4K, demand for $100,000 call options surged, a pattern that has historically preceded short‑term pullbacks when crowd greed peaks.

What the Data Shows

  • Sharp rise in $100K call buying
  • Concentration of bullish bets immediately after a price breakout
  • Sentiment skewing heavily toward upside continuation

This kind of positioning reflects crowded optimism, not necessarily informed conviction.

Why This Can Be Bearish (Short Term)

  • Overcrowded trades: When too many traders bet on the same outcome, upside becomes fragile
  • Dealer hedging dynamics: Heavy call buying can reduce marginal upside as dealers adjust exposure
  • “Buy the top” behavior: Retail enthusiasm often peaks after strong moves, not before them

Historically, similar spikes in call demand have coincided with local tops or consolidation phases.

Important Context

  • This is a tactical signal, not a macro one
  • It does not invalidate the broader bullish thesis for Bitcoin
  • Pullbacks driven by sentiment often reset leverage and funding, strengthening the trend

In bull markets, corrections are usually brief and shallow.

What to Watch Next

  • Funding rates and open interest changes
  • Whether call demand cools or accelerates further
  • Price behavior around key levels like $95K–$100K

Bottom Line

Santiment’s data suggests Bitcoin sentiment is flashing a contrarian warning as $100K call demand spikes after reclaiming $94.4K. Historically, this setup favors short‑term cooling or consolidation, even if the larger trend remains constructive.

Disclaimer: The articles published on this page are written by independent contributors and do not necessarily reflect the official views of MEXC. All content is intended for informational and educational purposes only and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile — please conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

You May Also Like

Zcash (ZEC) Price Prediction: ZEC Defends $300 Support as Bullish Structures and Privacy Narrative Return to Focus

Zcash (ZEC) Price Prediction: ZEC Defends $300 Support as Bullish Structures and Privacy Narrative Return to Focus

Zcash (ZEC) is holding above the crucial $300 support zone as price consolidates near $339, with traders watching key resistance levels and a potential bullish
Share
Brave New Coin2026/02/01 02:16
The 5000x Potential: BlockDAG Enters Its Final Hours at $0.0005 Before the Presale Ends

The 5000x Potential: BlockDAG Enters Its Final Hours at $0.0005 Before the Presale Ends

BlockDAG is one of the few projects offering a structured window rather than a surprise. The presale has already raised $452 million, and only hours remain to buy
Share
Techbullion2026/02/01 02:00
Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

The post Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson has weighed in on whether the Federal Reserve should make a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut or 50 bps cut. This comes ahead of the Fed decision today at today’s FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 bps cut. Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are currently trading flat ahead of the rate cut decision. Franklin Templeton CEO Weighs In On Potential FOMC Decision In a CNBC interview, Jenny Johnson said that she expects the Fed to make a 25 bps cut today instead of a 50 bps cut. She acknowledged the jobs data, which suggested that the labor market is weakening. However, she noted that this data is backward-looking, indicating that it doesn’t show the current state of the economy. She alluded to the wage growth, which she remarked is an indication of a robust labor market. She added that retail sales are up and that consumers are still spending, despite inflation being sticky at 3%, which makes a case for why the FOMC should opt against a 50-basis-point Fed rate cut. In line with this, the Franklin Templeton CEO said that she would go with a 25 bps rate cut if she were Jerome Powell. She remarked that the Fed still has the October and December FOMC meetings to make further cuts if the incoming data warrants it. Johnson also asserted that the data show a robust economy. However, she noted that there can’t be an argument for no Fed rate cut since Powell already signaled at Jackson Hole that they were likely to lower interest rates at this meeting due to concerns over a weakening labor market. Notably, her comment comes as experts argue for both sides on why the Fed should make a 25 bps cut or…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:36