Analyst Who Predicted the Last Bitcoin Crash Reveals His Next BTC Target

The Bitcoin price is having a rough patch. Down 0.66% in the last day to $66,130. The rest of the crypto market is mostly flat, so BTC is actually behind. 

Even though it’s bounced off the lows, nobody’s really committing yet. Everyone’s waiting for something or anything to give it a real push.

Part of the problem is Spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t pulling in money like they used to. Last week, they bled $315.84 million. That tells you institutions are cashing out or moving their chips elsewhere. Add in all the macro noise, inflation, rates, uncertainty, and you’ve got a market that’s jittery and ready to whip around on any news.

The Fear & Greed Index is stuck at 25. That’s solid fear territory. Confidence hasn’t come back. And here’s the kicker: one trader who called the drop from $82,000 down to $59,000 just put out his next price target. Traders are listening.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Why One Analyst Thinks $50,000 Is Still in Play

We had a look at the chart shared by Crypto Patel, and the main argument revolves around Bitcoin’s market structure. The analyst points out that BTC previously rejected a major resistance zone before falling from roughly $82,000 to $59,000. That decline followed the bearish setup he outlined weeks earlier.

The chart identifies a key breakdown area near $59,800. Patel argues that if a higher-timeframe candle closes below that level, the Bitcoin price would print a lower high and a lower low on larger timeframes. In technical analysis, that structure often points to sellers retaining control of the trend.

That said, the BTC chart leaves room for a bounce. Patel thinks the Bitcoin price could run up to $70,000–$72,000 before hitting another wall. That zone used to be support, now it could turn into a ceiling if buyers can’t push past it.

If BTC gets turned away there, Patel says the next stop down could be $50,000. That’s the big number on the downside. So that $70,000–$72,000 area? That’s the one everyone’s going to be watching in the weeks ahead.

News Pushing Bitcoin Price Today

Bitcoin finally broke past $66,000 and hit $66,468. What pushed it? A diplomatic step forward between the US and Iran. That gave markets a reason to relax and take on more risk.

Corporate buyers didn’t back off either. MicroStrategy bought another 1,587 BTC, about $100 million worth. They now hold 846,842 BTC in total.

Another development came from Marathon Digital. Reports indicate the Bitcoin mining company acquired 1,000 BTC worth $66.7 million through FalconX. Unlike miners that simply hold newly mined coins, this purchase involved open-market buying, a sign that management views present prices as attractive for treasury expansion.

Investors are also watching developments in Washington. The American Reserve Modernization Act (ARMA) proposes creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, moving government-owned BTC into long-term custody and requiring regular Proof-of-Reserves audits. 

The proposal would also restrict major sales for 20 years, a framework that could reduce future government selling pressure if it eventually becomes law.

Related Bitcoin News: Claude AI Predicts Bitcoin (BTC) Price After Trump Declares Iran War Over

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bulls Have Support, But Resistance Remains

Zoom out and you see a real fight playing out. Big companies keep buying Bitcoin. Global tensions have cooled down a bit. Lawmakers are talking about treating BTC more like a reserve asset. All of that points up over time.

But here’s the other side. Money keeps leaving the ETFs. That’s a problem. Bitcoin already hit a wall at $67,630 and couldn’t get past it. For buyers to push higher, they need institutions to step back in.

So right now, everyone’s watching one question: Can BTC get back to $70,000? Or does Patel end up being right about a drop toward $50,000?

Frequently Asked Questions

How are ETF outflows affecting Bitcoin price

Recent data shows billions of dollars leaving US Bitcoin ETFs, with net outflows around $2.1 billion in June alone. When ETFs sell Bitcoin to meet redemptions, it adds selling pressure to the market and limits upward momentum.

How can central bank decisions affect Bitcoin

Interest rate decisions influence global liquidity and investor risk appetite. A surprise policy move from major central banks, such as the Bank of Japan, can trigger volatility across stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.

Is gold safer than BTC

Duke University’s Campbell Harvey investigated whether bitcoin is a true competitor to gold as a “safe haven” asset. While both have been considered by investors as stores of value and potential hedges against market stress, his analysis revealed that gold continues to maintain a more stable role in times of crisis.