Ethereum Pectra upgrade adds new features. When will ETH be able to return to $2,000?

2025/05/08 19:16

By Marcel Pechman , Cointelegraph

Compiled by: Felix, PANews

Ethereum successfully implemented a key network upgrade on May 7, but the price of ETH and its derivatives indicators reacted mutedly to the upgrade. The muted reaction surprised traders and led analysts to question whether ETH still had a chance to rally 22% to reclaim the $2,200 level.

Ethereum Pectra upgrade adds new features. When will ETH be able to return to $2,000?

 ETH 30 -day futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch

The ETH futures premium has been below the neutral threshold of 5%, indicating a lack of interest from leveraged longs. More importantly, after the Pectra upgrade, this indicator remained unchanged at 3%, indicating that traders did not adjust their positions despite the successful deployment of the upgrade.

The muted market reaction is partly due to investors’ focus on macroeconomic issues as uncertainty over global trade disputes heightens the risk of a recession. But traders’ lack of interest in ether predates the recent deterioration in risk aversion. In fact, in the first three months of 2025, ETH underperformed the overall cryptocurrency market cap by 28%.

The muted reaction can be attributed in part to investors’ focus on macroeconomic issues, as the risk of a recession is growing amid uncertainty over global trade disputes. But traders’ lack of interest in ETH predates the recent rise in risk aversion. In fact, in the first three months of 2025, ETH underperformed the overall cryptocurrency market cap by 28%.

Pectra’s lackluster price performance following the upgrade reflects a general discontent in the market as other blockchains have shown some momentum.

Ethereum Pectra upgrade adds new features. When will ETH be able to return to $2,000?

 Solana monthly active addresses compared to L1 competitors. Source: Token Terminal

Historically, high Ethereum base layer fees may have limited network activity, but since mid-February, these fees have fallen below $1. In addition, according to Token Terminal data, Ethereum's leading L2 solution Base currently has 10.3 million monthly active users, far less than Solana's 82.2 million and BNB Chain's 25.9 million.

Ethereum lags in DApp interoperability — will this affect ETH’s price?

Solana has dominated the DEX space by providing an integrated user experience, especially in token issuance. Similarly, Hyperliquid has outperformed expectations in perpetual contract trading, indicating that traders' main concerns are not necessarily on Ethereum's decentralization and security. Meanwhile, Tron has made significant progress in the stablecoin market.

Ethereum Pectra upgrade adds new features. When will ETH be able to return to $2,000?

 Blockchain and DApps 30 -day fees (in USD). Source: DefiLlama

Ethereum still leads in terms of total locked value (TVL) at $53.7 billion. However, this has not brought much benefit to ETH holders. According to DefiLlama data, Ethereum network fees have been relatively low at only $19 million in the past 30 days. In comparison, Tron has accumulated fees of $51.8 million in the same period, while Solana has accumulated fees of $39.4 million.

Ethereum Pectra upgrade adds new features. When will ETH be able to return to $2,000?

 Source: X/ProbablyNoam

Noam Hurwitz, Alchemy’s head of engineering, noted that Ethereum’s blob fees have dropped to their lowest levels since the Pectra upgrade. For Hurwitz, ETH’s success depends on the scalability of the base layer, including further improvements to the Rollup mechanism, and ultimately a more seamless user experience.

The interoperability of assets and data in the Ethereum L2 ecosystem has long been a problem, while users on the Solana and BNB chains can easily switch between multiple decentralized applications (DApps). Although the Pectra upgrade is a step in the right direction, it still does not solve this problem, which also explains why ETH has not been able to return to the $2,200 level in early March.

For the price of ETH to rise 22% from its current $1,810, investors will likely need assurance that progress on the network (whether through deposits or L2 growth) translates into noticeable returns. Ultimately, higher staking yields or stronger incentives will be needed to drive wider adoption of DApps, which in turn will increase demand for ETH within the ecosystem.

Related reading: Dialogue with the Ethereum Foundation: After the Pectra upgrade, the three core strategies for the future are explained in detail

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South Korea Takes Another Step Toward Crypto Reform Amid Talk of Regulatory Shake-up

South Korea Takes Another Step Toward Crypto Reform Amid Talk of Regulatory Shake-up

South Korea’s government is set to fast-track pro-business crypto reforms, including stablecoin regulations. The South Korean newspaper Metro Seoul reported that the Presidential Committee on State Affairs announced its plans at a public briefing on August 13. South Korea Crypto Reform Taking Shape The committee spoke of a five-year plan for state administration, naming 123 state affairs-related tasks. Among these tasks named were “the construction of a digital asset ecosystem” and “developing the domestic cryptoasset market.” Both were identified as “key national tasks” for the administration, which took office in early June this year following the election of President Lee Jae-myung. President Lee Jae Myung on Wednesday laid out a sweeping five-year policy agenda, detailing 123 national tasks ranging from constitutional reform to industrial growth and market fairness. https://t.co/52cb7gzOvi — The Korea JoongAng Daily (@JoongAngDaily) August 13, 2025 Lee has spoken repeatedly about his intention to build up the domestic crypto sector, with deregulation and stablecoin regulation high on his agenda. The President appears keen to let domestic firms issue won-pegged stablecoins . Leading banks and IT companies have reacted by registering scores of stablecoin-related trademarks . Others are hurriedly rolling out crypto-related business plans, aware that this may allow non-financial firms to develop advanced payment platforms. However, one of President Lee’s key campaign pledges was left off the five-year plan, namely the dissolution of the Financial Services Commission (FSC). The FSC is the nation’s top financial regulator. Its Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) polices the country’s crypto exchanges , issuing operating permits and conducting periodic on-site inspections. It also enforces anti-money laundering and terrorist financing protocols at the trading platforms. The Government Complex Building in Seoul, South Korea. (Source: Seoul Institute [CC BY 4.0]) FSC: Vociferous Critic No More? In previous years, the FSC has been a vociferous critic of the crypto sector. But in recent years, as governments have relaxed their hardline stance to the industry, it has spoken in favor of reform. Under the proposal, FSC’s supervisory duties were to transfer to the Financial Supervisory Service. The FSC’s policy-related tasks were due to transfer to the Ministry of Strategy and Finance. But Lee’s plan to scrap the FSC proved controversial, even among senior ministers. While his offices have yet to confirm that the President has shelved the policy, the five-year plan appeared to suggest the proposal may have moved to the back burner. There was no mention of the regulatory reorganization move on the plan. And seven of the 123 tasks were assigned to the FSC. The newspaper added that crypto reforms are a “key focus” for both the government and the National Assembly this year. As such, reforms are “expected to gain momentum” in the weeks ahead, Metro Seoul wrote. ‘Time to Play Catch-up’ Political leaders are concerned that South Korea is being left behind. They note that over the past two years, the global crypto market has expanded by about 262%. While crypto investment has spiked in the US, the European Union, and Japan, driven by institutionalization drives, the same cannot be said for Seoul. The outlet wrote: “Delayed institutional reforms and a lack of legislation in South Korea have left the domestic cryptoasset market significantly lagging in terms of competitiveness.” South Korea says President Lee Jae Myung to visit Japan this month https://t.co/PmtmRcPibF — Nikkei Asia (@NikkeiAsia) August 13, 2025 The FSC has prioritized its plan to allow corporations to buy and sell crypto. It also wants to tak a “more relaxed approach” to regulations. The regulator has previously spoken of its intention to roll out crypto-related regulations before the end of this year. However, skeptics say that a final decision on the fate of the FSC is yet to be taken. Talks to abolish the regulator “may resume in the future,” the newspaper explained. Unnamed financial sector officials opined that the debate over the reorganization of the financial regulators would “continue until the end of the year.” Earlier this month, the Seoul district of Gangnam announced it had recouped $144,057 in unpaid taxes in the first half of this year by seizing coins from tax evaders .
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